The Buffalo Bills have plenty of goals set ahead of the 2026 NFL season.
The Bills have had the Super Bowl in mind for years but have come up short. Buffalo could set the bar a little lower than that by focusing on the AFC East.
After a five-year run winning the division, the AFC East went to the New England Patriots instead of the Bills in 2025.
In order to reach both of those, a good starting benchmark for the Bills would be hitting the over in terms of the team’s win total number at sportsbooks. In order to do that, Buffalo would have to win 11 games as their total is set at 10.5.
That number is tied for the highest in the AFC East with the Pats, however, the Bills are favored (-125) to reach that number while the Patriots are an underdog (+125).
All that leaves the question: Will Buffalo reach those heights? CBS Sports thinks so. The outlet predicted the over/under for each team in the division in 2026, and while the under is taken for New England, it’s the over for the Bills.
CBS Sports’ breakdown on the Bills can be found below:
The Bills have won at least 11 games every year since 2020, but decided to make the controversial decision to fire their coach and promote offensive coordinator Joe Brady after an overtime loss in the divisional round this past season. The standard is the standard in Buffalo. It’s Super Bowl or bust for this team.
On one hand, the Bills’ chief rival in the Patriots are expected to regress this upcoming season after winning the AFC last year. Plus, Buffalo gifted Josh Allen a new proven weapon in DJ Moore. On the other, the Bills have a top 10 toughest schedule if you consider last year’s combined win percentage from upcoming opponents. Still, the Bills are -130 to win the division, and a whopping -320 to make the playoffs straight up. Keep an eye on how the Bills start this season. They open up the year at the Houston Texans, vs. the Detroit Lions, vs. the Los Angeles Chargers, vs. the Patriots and at the Los Angeles Rams. That’s a tough stretch right off the bat, but I have the Bills getting to at least 11-6 and winning the division.
